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What Are President Obama's 2012 Reelection Chances?

Issues, Voters, States Vital to Obama's 2012 Reelection


This hub of lively columns and articles responds to the questions:
  • What are President Obama's 2012 reelection chances?
  • What issues and factors will affect President Obama's chances of reelection?
  • Which voter groups will matter most to Obama's 2012 reelection?
  • Which battleground states are must-wins for Obama in 2012?

1. Obama, Congressional Democrats May Lose Labor Support in 2012

Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images
In 2012, Democrats cannot count on the automatic support of labor unions; Democrats must earn it. Democrats can no longer take labor unions for granted... and that includes President Barack Obama! ""Our role is not to build the power of a political party or a candidate. It is to improve the lives of working families and strengthen our country," thundered labor leader Richard Trumka.

2. Goofball Republicans Drop Ball on Budget, Hurt 2012 Prospects

Mark Wilson/Getty Images
When running for office in 2010, Tea Party-fearing Republicans solemnly promised jobs, jobs, jobs, and a sane, stable approach to cutting government spending. They attracted votes because of serious talk about serious idea. But once in office, giddy, newly-elected Republicans in the House and state capitols became unserious. They deserted their apparently meaningless promises...

3. Republicans Are Wrong to Fear Obama in 2012

Courtesy of the Obama for President campaign
Republicans are wrong to fear Obama in 2012. I honestly have little idea why Republicans are afraid of the President's prospects in 2012. Sure, he has formidable political skills, and can deliver a terrific speech. But...

4. Obama Imperiled in 2012 by Taking Latinos for Granted

Justin Sullivan/Getty Images
One thing was made perfectly clear by the 2010 census results: Latinos as a voting group are substantial and influential, and cannot be ignored. President Obama and all Democrats are imperiled in 2012 if they persist in believing and acting as if Latinos will be satisfied with empty political promises...

5. Thirteen "Red" Labor Union States Could Lean Democratic in 2012

Michael Nagle/Getty Images
Thirteen "red" and "red/blue" states are likelier to lean Democratic in 2012 elections because of the push by a handful of Republican governors to abolish collective bargaining rights for public employee labor unions...

6. College Students Disappointed by Obama, Crucial to 2012 Election

Andy Kropa/Getty Images
President Obama can't, and won't, be reelected in 2012 without fervent, fever-pitched support of college students and others under age 25. At the beginning at 2011, the issues students and young voters most care about have been largely ignored, or poorly handled, thus far by the Obama administration, including...

7. Latino Voter Discontent Could Cost Obama 2012 Reelection

Alex Wong/Getty Images
Discontent over immigration laws now fills the air in Latino political circles, much of it aimed at President Obama. In 2010, California elected an entirely Democratic slate to fill all eight statewide elected offices, thanks to Latino voters. In 2012, Latino voters will be crucial, too, to reelecting President Obama. Plain and simple, Obama will not have a second term in office without enthusiastic Latino voter turnout at the 2012 polls...
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