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US Senate 2012 Election in New York


US Senate 2012 Election in New York
This article presents facts, analysis, and predictions for New York's 2012 U.S. Senate election race.

See 2012 Senate Elections - Who's Winning, Who's Losing for an overview of all 33 US Senate races, on a state-by-state basis.

The Incumbent US Senator
Sen. Kristen Gillibrand, a Democrat, was appointed to the U.S. Senate to replace Sen. Hillary Clinton, who resigned to become Secretary of State in the Obama administration. Gillibrand first took office on January 26, 2009. Sen. Gillibrand was the victor in New York's November 2010 special election to fill the remaining two-year term of this Senate seat.

Prior to becoming a U.S. senator, Gillibrand served two years in the U.S. House of Representatives. From 1992 to 1999, Kirsten Gillibrand served as Special Counsel to the Housing & Urban Development Department under President Clinton.

In the 112th Congress, Sen. Gillibrand is a member of the Senate Environment and Public Works, Armed Forces, and Agriculture committees, and the Senate Caucuses on Women's Issues, Healthy Children, and International Conservation.

Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand is running for reelection in 2012 as U.S. senator from New York.

New York's 2012 Senate Race
Three Republicans will compete for in the June 26, 2012 primary election:

  • Rep. Bob Turner, a one-term Congressman who succeeded disgrace Democrat Anthony Weiner
  • George Maragos, Comptroller for two years of Nassau County, which includes Long Island
  • Wendy Long, advisor to Mitt Romney's president campaign and a former law clerk for Supreme Court Associate Justice Clarence Thomas
No clear Republican field leader emerges in recent polls.

Who Will Win?
RealClearPolitics.com rates blue-state New York's 2012 U.S. Senate as a "Safe Democratic Seat."

Recent Election Results
New York's two U.S. senators serving in the 112th Congress (2011 to 2012) are:

  • Democrat Chuck Schumer, Chair of the Senate Rules Committee, serving his second term
  • Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand, now completing her first term
Both Governor Andrew Cuomo and Lieutenant Governor Robert Duffy are Democrats.

Among New York's 29-member delegation to the U.S. House of Representatives, 21 are Democrats and eight are Republicans.

In the last four presidential elections, New York voted as follows:

  • 2008 - 63% for Democrat Obama, 36% for Republican McCain
  • 2004 - 58% for Democrat Kerry, 40% for Republican Bush
  • 2000 - 58% for Democrat Gore, 33% for Republican Bush, 9% for Other
  • 1996 - 58% for Democrat Clinton, 28% for Republican Dole, 14% for Other
New York Economic Facts and Voter Demographics
Labor Union Membership - New York is home to 2,170,000 labor union members, representing 26.6% of all workers in the state... the highest state percentage of labor union membership.

Unemployment Rate as of June 2011 - New York state's unemployment rate remained below the national average throughout 2011, and was 8.0% in June 2011, which ranked 27th among all states.

Foreclosure Rates as of June 2011 - New York's home foreclosure rate in 2011 remained exceedingly low, and was 1 in 2981 homes in June 2011, which ranked 45th among all states.

State Residents Living Below Poverty-Level Income - 13.6% of New York state residents live below the poverty level, per the 2010 Census, which ranks 18th among all states.

Senior Citizen Population - Residents 65 years old and over comprise 13.5% of New York state's population, which ranks 24th among all states.

Women as a Percentage of State Population - 51.6% of all New Yorkers are women, the second highest percentage of all states, behind only Alabama and tied with three eastern U.S. states.

Hispanic Population - 17.6% of all New Yorkers are of Hispanic heritage, which ranks 9th among all states, trailing six western U.S. states, Florida, and New Jersey.

African-American Population - 16% of New Yorkers are African-Americans, which ranks 11th among all states.

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